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NFC Championship: Betting options and analysis

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While the AFC championship features greenhorn Mark Sanchez against wily vet Peyton Manning, the NFC title game will see two experienced QBs going head to head when Drew Brees faces off with Brett Favre. (6:40 p.m. ET, FOX)

Heading into Sunday’s tilt, online sportsbooks have Brees’ New Orleans Saints listed as 3.5-point home favorites and the total set at 53.

The Saints are favored by a field goal in first-half betting and the total for the first two quarters is set at 26.5.

SPORTSBETTING.com is reporting balanced action on this game, much more so than the AFC matchup between the Jets and Colts.

The NFC’s top two seeds performed similarly in the divisional round, handily defeating their opponents.

The Saints covered as a 7-point home chalk defeating the Arizona Cardinals 45-14 and the Vikes stopped Tony Romo and the surging Dallas Cowboys in a 34-3 win – Minnesota covered as a 3-point home favorite.

Let’s look at some key NFL betting stats for this matchup:

In the last nine meeting between these two teams, Minnesota has the edge over New Orleans having gone 8-1 straight up (SU) and 6-3 against the spread (ATS).
The last nine games between these two teams have produced one over, seven unders and one push.
New Orleans has a record of 14 overs and three unders in its last 17 starts vs. teams from the NFC North.
The Saints are only 3-8 ATS in their last 11 starts.
The last 11 January road games have not been kind to Minnesota and its bettors – the Vikings are 1-10 SU and 1-10 ATS.
The Saints haven’t been too sharp in January either, as they are only 4-9 SU and 3-10 ATS.
The last 13 times New Orleans has been favored by 4 points or less, the Saints have gone 10-3 ATS. In this situation, 11 games have gone over and two have gone under.
The Vikings, meanwhile, has burned a hole in backers’ pockets in their last 13 games when underdogs of +4 or less; they have a record of 3-10 SU and 3-8-2 ATS in that situation.

Super Bowl Odds:

In Super Bowl 44 futures betting, the Saints are listed at +200 while the Vikings are +400. The Colts are favored at +110 and the Jets are dogs at +600.

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