Betting against the Saints and Colts in Week 12against
There have never been two undefeated teams this late in an NFL season, so the New Orleans Saints and Indianapolis Colts are in some uncharted waters…uncharted for them and for the league. Both will face significant challenges in this week’s matchups, with the Saints having the bigger test.
It seems sort of fitting that New Orleans is hosting the New England Patriots on Monday night in what will be one of the largest wagered on games of the year. After all, the Saints are aiming for a 16-0 regular season this year (or better, if you include the playoffs), while the Patriots went 16-0 during the 2007 regular season.
The game will take place at the Superdome and online sportsbooks currently have the Saints listed as 1.5-point home favorites.
The game opened with New Orleans as a 3-point chalk, but sports bettors have been lining up on the Patriots most of the week, feeling they have the team to deal Drew Brees and his crew their first loss. The betting total for the game is set at an eye-popping 57, the highest line of the season so far.
Both teams can put up points, but reaching 57 or more means each side has to hit the scoreboard on most of their possessions. New Orleans has a record of seven overs and three unders in its last 10 home games.
The Saints are a tough team to beat at home – they boast a mark of 9-1 straight up in their last 10 and are 7-3 ATS over that stretch. But the Pats can brag about their road record – they’ve put together a mark of 9-2 ATS in their last 11 away games.
Looking at these two in head-to-head matchups, the Saints are 6-1 ATS the last seven times they’ve met, but bear in mind very few of those games were recent; those games date all the way back to 1986. Those games have produced six overs and one under.
The Saints have been profitable when favored by 2 points or less, going 8-1 SU and ATS in their last nine in that situation, with a notable 10 overs and one under in those games.
SPORTSBETTING.com is reporting that 72 percent of the action on the game so far is on the visiting Pats.
As referenced above, the boys from the Bayou aren’t the only ones taking aim at perfection as the Indianapolis Colts are also 10-0.
The Colts will look to go 11-0 with a road game against the Houston Texans – Indy is a 3.5-point road favorite with the over/under pegged at 48.
Indianapolis has dominated Houston in seven road games on the scoreboard, going 6-1 straight up, but bettors care about ATS numbers, and it’s here that Houston has the edge. The Texans hold a 5-2 ATS record in those seven meetings.
The last eight times these two have met overall, whether in Houston or Indianapolis, the Colts are 7-1 straight up while the Texans are 6-2 ATS. In those eight games, the score has gone over the total seven times.
Houston is 7-3 both SU and ATS in its last 10 games when listed as an underdog of 4-points or less. Indy is 8-2 ATS and 9-1 SU in its last 10 road games overall.
Bettors are split so far on this one – 56 percent of the action has come in on the Colts.
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